Interactive Map

How Will Pediatric Subspecialists be Distributed Across the United States?

Welcome to the interactive map that lets you investigate and compare different projections of the pediatric subspecialty workforce across U.S. Census Divisions.

To get started, select the options in which you are interested and click Show.

The Help page has tutorials about how to use the visualization. The Methods page has more information about how the projections were made.

To cite, please include the following:

The Program on Health Workforce Research and Policy at the Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, and the American Board of Pediatrics Foundation. Projecting the future US pediatric subspecialty workforce: A workforce microsimulation model, 2020-2040. Updated February 2023. https://www.pedsubspecforecast.unc.edu/map. Accessed on: May 18, 2024
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Projection of Workforce Supply for All Pediatric Subspecialties (Combined), 2040

Model Parameters: Census Division, Headcount, Subspecialists per 100,000 Children, Baseline

0204060Subspecialists per 100,000 Children >
Projection Year

Projection of Workforce Supply for All Pediatric Subspecialties (Combined)

Model Parameters: Census Division, Headcount, Subspecialists per 100,000 Children, Baseline

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
East North Central 29.6 30.1 31.1 32.0 33.0 33.9 34.7 35.5 36.4 37.2 37.9 38.8 39.7 40.5 41.2 42.1 43.1 44.0 44.8 46.0 46.7
East South Central 24.7 25.6 26.6 27.7 28.8 29.9 31.1 32.0 33.0 34.0 34.9 35.8 36.7 37.7 38.5 39.4 40.3 41.2 42.0 42.8 43.6
Middle Atlantic 38.8 39.4 40.5 41.7 42.6 43.5 44.4 45.3 46.2 47.0 47.8 48.5 49.3 50.2 51.1 52.1 53.2 54.1 55.0 56.0 56.9
Mountain 21.7 22.5 23.3 24.1 24.9 25.7 26.5 27.1 27.7 28.5 29.0 29.5 30.0 30.5 30.9 31.4 32.0 32.3 32.6 32.9 33.2
New England 48.5 49.5 51.0 52.6 54.1 55.3 56.6 57.9 59.2 60.3 61.5 62.6 64.0 65.2 66.2 67.5 68.7 69.8 70.8 71.7 72.6
Pacific 25.9 26.5 27.2 28.0 28.7 29.5 30.1 30.8 31.4 32.1 32.6 33.2 33.7 34.4 35.0 35.6 36.2 36.8 37.4 37.8 38.3
South Atlantic 28.9 29.5 30.4 31.1 31.8 32.4 33.2 33.6 34.3 34.7 35.2 35.6 36.4 36.8 37.3 37.7 38.5 38.9 39.3 39.8 40.1
West North Central 27.4 28.7 30.0 31.2 32.4 33.5 34.7 35.8 36.7 37.6 38.4 39.4 40.3 41.3 42.2 43.1 44.0 44.8 45.6 46.4 47.1
West South Central 22.1 23.0 24.0 24.8 25.7 26.4 27.2 27.9 28.3 29.0 29.6 29.9 30.5 30.8 31.2 31.8 32.1 32.6 32.9 33.3 33.4
Children are defined as people 18 years or younger. Doctors in the model are 70 years or younger. Clinical workforce equivalent (CWE) refers to the headcount adjusted by the proportion of time spent in direct clinical or consultative care. This value is self-reported in response to the question "What proportion of your total professional time is spent performing each of the following tasks?" The proportion used for this calculation is from the following category: "Direct and/or consultative inpatient and outpatient care, including patient billing and charting (with or without trainees)."